Godlove University · Free Trading Tools

Prop Firm Challenge Pass-Rate Simulator

Before you spend a cent on an evaluation, run it 8,000 times. Your win rate, your sizing, the firm’s real rules — and the number nobody shows you: what passing will actually cost you.

Presets from published rules (Aug 2026) — every field is editable.


Your trading

Pass rate

Expected cost of passing

Press the button to simulate.
How the 8,000 attempts ended Share
✅ Passed
💥 Hit max drawdown
⛔ Hit the daily loss limit
🐌 Still grinding after 90 days

The sizing sweet spot (same stats, different risk)
Risk / trade Pass rate Expected cost

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✔ Done! Check your inbox — your Pass Kit is on the way.

Simulations assume independent trades and honest rule modeling — real markets have streaks and slippage, so treat results as a best-case baseline. Firm rules verified August 2026; always confirm current rules before buying.

The number prop firms hope you never calculate

Prop firms are honest about their rules and quiet about their math. The average trader doesn’t fail an evaluation because the rules are unfair — they fail because they walk in with a pass probability of 15% and no idea that’s their number. At 15%, the expected cost of eventually passing a $50 challenge isn’t $50 — it’s over $300 in fees and resets, plus months of frustration.

This simulator plays your exact statistics — win rate, reward-to-risk, sizing, trades per day — against the firm’s exact rules: profit target, trailing or static drawdown, daily loss limits, minimum days and consistency caps. 8,000 complete evaluation attempts, simulated in about a second. What you get is the honest picture: your pass probability, how attempts fail, and what passing will really cost.

Why the risk sweep is the most valuable table on this page

Run the simulation and look at the sweep table. Almost every trader discovers the same thing: their pass rate rises when they cut risk — up to a point — because the account survives long enough for the edge to work, then falls again if the risk is so small the target takes forever. That peak is your sizing sweet spot, and finding it before you pay the fee is the entire reason this tool exists. It’s also, almost word for word, what my Pass Kit teaches: boring size, steady days, mathematical inevitability.

Frequently asked questions

What percentage of traders pass prop firm challenges?

Industry disclosures and firm statements put real pass rates roughly between 10% and 30% depending on the firm and rules — Take Profit Trader publicly disclosed about 17%. But the aggregate number matters less than yours: pass probability is mostly a function of your win rate, reward-to-risk and sizing against the specific rule set, which is exactly what this simulator computes.

Why do most traders fail evaluations?

Sizing, overwhelmingly. A perfectly profitable strategy fails evaluations when the risk per trade is too large for the drawdown allowance — normal losing streaks hit the limit before the edge plays out. Run the risk sweep and watch your own pass rate change with nothing but position size; it’s usually the most convincing lesson in trading.

What’s a realistic cost to get funded?

Expected cost = evaluation fee ÷ pass probability. A $50 monthly evaluation at a 33% pass rate costs about $150 in expectation; at 10% it costs $500. Add activation fees where they exist. Traders who compute this number first tend to pick cheaper evaluations, size smaller, and pass sooner.

Does the simulator account for trailing drawdowns and consistency rules?

Yes — it models static, end-of-day trailing and intraday trailing drawdowns (with lock-at-start behavior where firms apply it), daily loss limits, minimum trading days, and consistency caps that force you to keep trading until your best day dilutes. Those interactions are precisely what simple “profit calculator” tools miss.

Risk disclaimer: Trading futures and forex involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. This tool is educational only, uses simplified statistical assumptions, and is not financial advice. Rule figures are based on publicly published information as of August 2026 and change without notice — always verify with the firm.

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